Diurnal variation
In calculating diurnal variability I'm under the impression that the oasy's group suggest change in peak flow/predicted as a marker of variability rather than % change from baseline i.e am-pm/highest if so
what do you classify as a significant effect ? 10% of predicted or ?20%
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We do not place much importance on diurnal variation when investigating occupational asthma. The display shows day max - day min divided by the predicted when we know what it is. Otherwise we use day max - day min divided by the mean of all the peak flows in the record. There is a line on the diurnal variation part of the graph at 20% as this is a figure a lot of people get excited about. We use the Oasys score and visual analysis of the daily and 2-hourly plots instead.
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The percentage clearly depends on the denominator, so those with low PEF have higher diunal variation if the mean or maximum is used. The most sensible denominator is the predicted PEF. If PEF is measured 2-hourly in a normal population, the 90% CI for diurnal variation % predicted is around 17.6% (Higgins BG Am Rev Resp Dis 1992;145:588). The sensitivity at this cut-off for asthma in this study was 32%. i.e. most asthmatics when measured routinely do not have increased diurnal variation outside population norms. A study of healthy frain workers with large exposres showed an upper 95% CI of 17%, levels above this seen in around 40% of workers with occupational asthma.
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